Projecting The World Population

Projecting the World Population

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Projecting the World Population

World population rates are continuously changing and the never stay constant. Thus no one can predict the changing population rates. The UN has tried to speculate the rate for future world population through different levels of projection. Every projection involves the speculations regarding the future population rate, that how will they increase or decrease, or if they will stay constant. Different determinants are taken into account while making these projections. UN has given three projections regarding the trends of the world populations in the future.

These projections are high, medium and low. Higher projections are observed in the developing and underdeveloped countries. High projections refer to the increasing total fertility rate (TFR) or the TFR that is either increasing or not decreasing in a certain population. Higher TFRs refer to women having more than 5 children. Medium variant of projection refers to the non-increasing or non-decreasing birth rates; or the ones that are showing varying patterns in birth rates. While low projection rates refer to the lower TRFs in the populations. Knowing these projections help the communities to formulate policies to control the population growth or decline.

For example, according to the UN projections Niger had TFR of 7.6 children that is extremely higher than its previous records. UN has projected that the rate the TRF will decline to 5 children per women by the midcentury. Pakistan is an example of the medium variant country, where the TRF trend keeps changing. Fertility decline has been observed in Pakistan but considering the pats data, the rate of decline can get stalled after the particular decline. Germany is the country with an extremely low fertility rate and he TRF projections will continue to decline if the recovery measures won’t take place to increase the TRF. Thus the projections presented by the UN are really helpful in allowing communities to stabilize their future population rates ADDIN ZOTERO_ITEM CSL_CITATION {"citationID":"BnRJmVLO","properties":{"formattedCitation":"(\\uc0\\u8220{}United Nations Raises Projected World Population \\uc0\\u8211{} Population Reference Bureau,\\uc0\\u8221{} n.d.)","plainCitation":"(“United Nations Raises Projected World Population – Population Reference Bureau,” n.d.)","noteIndex":0},"citationItems":[{"id":1750,"uris":["http://zotero.org/users/local/KZl8ZL3A/items/6U72ESJW"],"uri":["http://zotero.org/users/local/KZl8ZL3A/items/6U72ESJW"],"itemData":{"id":1750,"type":"post-weblog","title":"United Nations Raises Projected World Population – Population Reference Bureau","URL":"https://www.prb.org/un-world-projections/","language":"en-US","accessed":{"date-parts":[["2019",4,6]]}}}],"schema":"https://github.com/citation-style-language/schema/raw/master/csl-citation.json"} (“United Nations Raises Projected World Population – Population Reference Bureau,” n.d.).

References

ADDIN ZOTERO_BIBL {"uncited":[],"omitted":[],"custom":[]} CSL_BIBLIOGRAPHY United Nations Raises Projected World Population – Population Reference Bureau. (n.d.). Retrieved April 6, 2019, from https://www.prb.org/un-world-projections/